Monday, April 6, 2009

Weekly Recap: 3/30/09 - 4/03/09

Weekly Range:

  • Open 123.09
  • High 131.64
  • Low 120.51
  • Close 131.62
  • Point Change 6.47
  • % Change from last week close +5.17%

Last week MNX made a decisive move above its 100dma, gapping up above the 125 level and remains 26% higher than its March 9th lows. I believe that after a run of that magnitude in 3 weeks, the MNX is due for a pullback, potentially to the 115 level. Earnings season begins next week and it is expected to be bad, further clarifying the need for a general market pullback. The VXN still remains range bound in the lower 40's and hasn't helped to pump up option premiums. With 38 days until May expiry, I am looking to sell the May 90 puts for .25. Although the puts now go for slightly less than .25, the pullback that I expect to happen should get my order filled nicely. The April 91 puts I am short remain 30% otm and with only 10 trading days left in their life, they should expire otm as expected.